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Posted by deardesigner

I’ve been at it again I’m afraid.

Where do I find the time you might ask!  What with work, and this blog (another addiction of mine), Heart Home magazine, the odd bit of DIY and gardening, family and all the other demands on time, you might think I just wouldn’t have a spare moment.  And you are right.  But what about those snatched moments whilst eating breakfast, waiting for the bath to run, waiting for the BF to come to bed?  That’s when you might find me on the iPad devouring an estate agents website.  I know, it’s sad beyond belief.

But I can’t help imagining…

The Lawns, View of house from rear

What it would be like to live in a stunning house like this.  Architect designed with double height windows wrapped around an older house, it would have all the light I craved and more, and fantastic views of the landscaped gardens.

The_Lawns_conservatory-7067

Was the art bought for that wall or was the wall built for that art?

The_Lawns_kitchen-6886

And it just looks made for entertaining doesn’t it.  I could muster up kinds of culinary masterpieces in this kitchen whilst my guests perch on those stools with drinks in hand, and admire the other masterpieces on the walls.

The_Lawns_reception-6822

And we could retire with coffee to one of the much cosier inner rooms and enjoy the fire.

Available currently on the Savills Hampstead website.

Or would I rather live in a house like this…

clapton mill 020

A converted watermill in the country with a fully operating mill and masses of period details.

clapton mill 030

Dinner parties would be much smaller, more intimate affairs with flickering candlelight, the best antique china and soft background music.  Guests wouldn’t want to go home.

clapton mill 008

And Sunday afternoons would be spent in front of the fire with feet up and a pile of weekend papers before putting the kettle on and cutting the freshly baked cake.

DSC_0598

 Available currently on the Savills Beaconsfield website.

Which would you choose?

aethel: (hawking nerd [by librarianstash])

v. important Star Wars question

May. 19th, 2013 03:20 pm

Poll #13469 Star Wars vs. Star Wars
Open to: All, detailed results viewable to: Just the Poll Creator, participants: 6

Which is the best Star Wars film?

Star Wars (Star Wars Episode IV: A New Hope)
1 (16.7%)

Star Wars Episode V: The Empire Strikes Back
4 (66.7%)

Star Wars Episode VI: Return of the Jedi
1 (16.7%)

Star Wars Episode I: The Phantom Menace
0 (0.0%)

Star Wars Episode II: Attack of the Clones
0 (0.0%)

Star Wars Episode III: Revenge of the Sith
0 (0.0%)

Posted by Jay Livingston, PhD

Cross-posted at Montclair SocioBlog.

Does “the abortion culture” cause infanticide?  That is, does legalizing the aborting of a fetus in the womb create a cultural, moral climate where people feel free to kill newborn babies?

It’s not a new argument.  I recall a 1998 Peggy Noonan op-ed in the Times, “Abortion’s Children,” arguing that kids who grew up in the abortion culture are “confused and morally dulled.”*  Earlier this week, USA Today ran an op-ed by Mark Rienzi repeating this argument in connection with the Gosnell murder conviction.

Rienzi argues that the problem is not one depraved doctor.  As the subhead says:

The killers are not who you think. They’re moms.

Worse, he warns, infanticide has skyrocketed.

While murder rates for almost every group in society have plummeted in recent decades, there’s one group where murder rates have doubled, according to CDC and National Center for Health Statistics data — babies less than a year old.

Really? The FBI’s Uniform Crime Reports has a different picture.

1

Many of these victims were not newborns, and Rienzi is talking about day-of-birth homicides — the type killing Dr. Gosnell was convicted of, a substitute for abortion.  Most of these, as Rienzi says are committed not by doctors but by mothers.  I make the assumption that the method in most of these cases is smothering.  These deaths show an even steeper decline since 1998.

2

Where did Rienzi get his data that rates had doubled?  By going back to 1950.

3

The data on infanticide fit with his idea that legalizing abortion increased rates of infanticide.  The rate rises after Roe v. Wade (1973) and continues upward till 2000.

But that hardly settles the issue. Yes, as Rienzi says, “The law can be a potent moral teacher.”  But many other factors could have been affecting the increase in infanticide, factors much closer to actual event — the mother’s age, education, economic and family circumstances, blood lead levels, etc.

If Roe changed the culture, then that change should be reflected not just in the very small number of infanticides but in attitudes in the general population.  Unfortunately, the GSS did not ask about abortion till 1977, but since that year, attitudes on abortion have changed very little.   Nor does this measure of “abortion culture” have any relation to rates of infanticide.

4

Moreover, if there is a relation between infanticide and general attitudes about abortion, then we would expect to see higher rates of infanticide in areas where attitudes on abortion are more tolerant.

5

The South and Midwest are most strongly anti-abortion, the West Coast and Northeast the most liberal.  So, do these cultural difference affect rates of infanticide?

6

Well, yes, but it turns out the actual rates of infanticide are precisely the opposite of what the cultural explanation would predict.  The data instead support a different explanation of infanticide: Some state laws make it harder for a woman to terminate an unwanted pregnancy.  Under those conditions, more women will resort to infanticide.  By contrast, where abortion is safe, legal, and available, women will terminate unwanted pregnancies well before parturition.

The absolutist pro-lifers will dismiss the data by insisting that there is really no difference between abortion and infanticide and that infanticide is just a very late-term abortion. As Rienzi puts it:

As a society, we could agree that there really is little difference between killing a being inside and outside the womb.

In fact, very few Americans agree with this proposition. Instead, they do distinguish between a cluster of a few fertilized cells and a newborn baby. I know of no polls that ask about infanticide, but I would guess that a large majority would say that it is wrong under all circumstances.  But only perhaps 20% of the population thinks that abortion is wrong under all circumstances.

Whether the acceptance of abortion in a society makes people “confused and morally dulled” depends on how you define and measure those concepts.  But the data do strongly suggest that whatever “the abortion culture” might be, it lowers the rate of infanticide rather than increasing it.

* I had trouble finding Noonan’s op-ed at the Times Website.  Fortunately, then-Rep. Talent (R-MO) entered it into the Congressional Record.

Jay Livingston is the chair of the Sociology Department at Montclair State University. You can follow him at Montclair SocioBlog or on Twitter.

(View original at http://thesocietypages.org/socimages)

Posted by Mark Liberman

In "The Inca Connection: A Quechua Word Game", 5/18/2013, Piotr Gąsiorowski compares "a 200-word Swadesh list for Southern Quechua and the Tower of Babel 'Eurasiatic' etymologies", and finds 22 clear matches. He notes that "There are only twenty-two matches because I got bored too soon, but it’s an easy game", and concludes

I think I have already demonstrated beyond reasonable doubt that the Quechua people are a lost Nostratic tribe. Note that the semantic matches are impeccable and the similarity of the words is quite obvious to any open-minded observer. Indeed, the matches are much better than many of those in the LWED. The quality of examples 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, and 9, in particular, is guaranteed by the fact that they represent statistically certified ultraconserved Eurasiatic vocabulary (Pagel et al. 2013). The famous items ‘mother’, ‘bark’, and ‘worm’ are among them. […]

But there is more to Quechua than just its Eurasiatic affinities. It seems to be particularly close to Proto-Indo-European. Compare the Quechua numerals pichqa ‘5’ and suqta ‘6’ = PIE *penkʷe, *sweḱs, clearly a common Indo-Quechuan innovation not shared with any other Eurasiatic group. I can’t reveal too much at present, but mark my words: you’ll read about it in Nature one day – or Science, perhaps, or PNAS.

Certainly the current reviewing standards at Nature, Science, and PNAS (at least for speech- and language-related papers) will allow and even encourage this future bombshell, if only Piotr can be persuaded to hold his nose and write the paper.

I leave it as an exercise for the reader to integrate the Quechua data into the statistical analysis of Pagel et al. 2013. While you're at it, you could incorporate the Quechua/Sinitic correspondences revealed in Mark Rosenfelder's prescient 1996 work "Deriving Proto-World with tools you probably have at home". A quote from that source worth repeating:

When I first posted this stuff to the Net, one gentleman wondered aloud (wondered anet?) if I might have proved that Chinese and Quechua are related. Some days it's not worth getting out of bed.

Similar words with similar meanings do not prove that languages are related. They might point to a relationship– but they might also be due to borrowing ('gung ho' really is from Chinese); they might be due to universal processes like babytalk or onomatopoeia; and above all they may just be chance.

This seems to be hard for some people to accept. Just look at ren and runa, or gaijin and goyim, they seem to think– how could that possibly be due to chance?

These people should be treated with respect. They are the people who made Las Vegas what it is today.

What are the chances of finding maliq'a-style pseudo-cognates? Well, empirically, based on my experiences finding the above Quechua/Chinese list, the answer is "One half." That is, with a little ingenuity, and given languages with reasonably compatible phonologies, you can find a 'cognate' between two unrelated languages about once out of every two words you try.

[h/t to Ben Zimmer and Languagehat. See "Ultraconserved words? Really??", 5/8/2013, and "Scrabble tips for time travelers", 2/26/2009, for background.]

I was reading an MIT interview where someone claimed all the fannish links were gone from Delicious, so I checked, and mine at least were still there. What is different is that the number of times a link is bookmarked no longer shows up until you click on the box for that particular entry. Judging by the Derek/Stiles tag, fans are still using Delicious; in fact, there appear to be more Sterek fans actively tagging on Delicious than on Pinboard. Just, no one seems to be *talking* about Delicious anymore.

Looking at the popular/fandom page on Pinboard shows you what fandoms are popular among Pinboard users. Yep, Teen Wolf and Avengers.
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